Description

This analysis provides a forecast of COTI prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-23 0.051010 0.059539 0.068908 0.079946 0.092573 0.106546 0.123156
2025-03-02 0.037354 0.048298 0.061447 0.078329 0.099340 0.124531 0.156918
2025-03-09 0.029323 0.041510 0.057349 0.079254 0.108541 0.146096 0.197607
2025-03-16 0.022561 0.034724 0.051710 0.076829 0.112627 0.161325 0.231981
2025-03-23 0.019367 0.032075 0.050964 0.080557 0.125077 0.188718 0.285474
2025-03-30 0.016180 0.028721 0.048486 0.081152 0.132802 0.210042 0.332531
2025-04-06 0.013215 0.025077 0.044850 0.079228 0.136181 0.224995 0.371420
2025-04-13 0.010982 0.022198 0.041902 0.077813 0.139917 0.240541 0.412391
2025-04-20 0.009979 0.021313 0.042157 0.081716 0.152684 0.271463 0.480434
2025-04-27 0.008995 0.020265 0.041917 0.084629 0.163961 0.300847 0.548453
2025-05-04 0.007578 0.018062 0.039155 0.082478 0.165888 0.314397 0.590771
2025-05-11 0.006548 0.016463 0.037296 0.081725 0.170166 0.332252 0.641853
2025-05-18 0.005511 0.014665 0.034797 0.079461 0.171505 0.345312 0.686313
2025-05-25 0.004681 0.013171 0.032699 0.077710 0.173619 0.359977 0.735051
2025-06-01 0.004162 0.012326 0.031884 0.078554 0.181026 0.385294 0.805852
2025-06-08 0.003512 0.010995 0.029727 0.076112 0.181262 0.396610 0.850705
2025-06-15 0.003297 0.010793 0.030227 0.079789 0.195006 0.436035 0.953873
2025-06-22 0.002946 0.010124 0.029460 0.080368 0.201962 0.462177 1.032485
2025-06-29 0.002529 0.009161 0.027772 0.078456 0.203035 0.476090 1.087175
2025-07-06 0.002192 0.008361 0.026372 0.077051 0.205087 0.492197 1.147624
2025-07-13 0.002089 0.008294 0.026982 0.080918 0.220102 0.537740 1.273984
2025-07-20 0.001958 0.008105 0.027213 0.083805 0.233023 0.579656 1.395528
2025-07-27 0.001689 0.007358 0.025679 0.081672 0.233209 0.592836 1.455038